The FPHLM is the only open public hurricane loss evaluation model available for assessment of hazard to insured residential property from hurricanes in Florida. The model consists of three independent components: the atmospheric science component, the vulnerability component and the actuarial component. The atmospheric component simulates thousands of storms, their wind speeds and their decay once on land on the basis of historical hurricane statistics defining wind risk for all residential zip codes in Florida.
The focus of the thesis was to analyze atmospheric science component of the Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model, replicate statistical procedures used to model various parameters of atmospheric science component and to validate the model. I establish the distribution for modeling annual hurricane occurrence, choose the best fitting distribution for the radius of maximum winds and compute the expression for the pressure profile parameter Holland B.
