Bayesian Estimation of Small Proportions Using Binomial Group Test Thesis

(2012). Bayesian Estimation of Small Proportions Using Binomial Group Test . 10.25148/etd.FI12112706

thesis or dissertation chair

authors

  • Luo, Shihua

abstract

  • Group testing has long been considered as a safe and sensible relative to one-at-a-time testing in applications where the prevalence rate p is small. In this thesis, we applied Bayes approach to estimate p using Beta-type prior distribution. First, we showed two Bayes estimators of p from prior on p derived from two different loss functions. Second, we presented two more Bayes estimators of p from prior on π according to two loss functions. We also displayed credible and HPD interval for p. In addition, we did intensive numerical studies. All results showed that the Bayes estimator was preferred over the usual maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for small p. We also presented the optimal β for different p, m, and k.

publication date

  • November 9, 2012

keywords

  • Bayes Estimator
  • Beta Distribution
  • Group Test
  • MLE
  • MSE.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)